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JUAN CARLOS ECHEVERRY Permanent Address: ECONCEPT, Calle 94A No. 11A-32 Of. 205, Bogotá, Colombia email: jcecheverry@econceptaei.com Tel.: (571) 6167039 or 6358298 Former Minister of Finance of Colombia (Aug. 2010-Sep. 2012) and Minister of Economic Planning (Sep. 2000-Aug. 2002). Former Dean of Economics at Universidad de los Andes (Bogotá). Macroeconomist, policymaker and university professor, experienced in economic and political analysis. Responsible for the technical design and congressional approval of Colombia´s economy stabilization package, 1998-2002; and for the program for Colombian economic takeoff, 2010-2014. Advisor during eight years of international banks and financial institutions with Global Source, a New York based consultancy, and Econcept, a Bogotá based consultancy. Weekly editorialist of CNN en Español (Atlanta) for three years. Strong theoretical and econometric skills. Proficient at presentations to specialists and the general public. Teaching experience at New York University and Universities in Colombia. Expert witness in litigations in topics of infrastructure concessions and finance. Has published papers in different fields of economics, in specialized journals, and three books on the Colombian economy; has participated in books on the Africa´s and the Pacific Basin´s economic development. Fluent in Spanish, English and German. Colombian citizen, married with Verónica Navas, M.Sc. In Public Finance from The London School of Economics, and father of Gabriel (7), Gregorio (4) and Julieta (2); Age 50. EDUCATION Ph. D. Economics, New York University Diploma, International Economic Policy Graduate Courses in Philosophy, Univ. Complutense B. A. Economics, Universidad de los Andes 1991 - 1996 1989 – 1990 1984 - 1985 1979 - 1983 New York, U.S.A. Kiel, Germany Madrid, Spain Bogotá, Colombia Academic and professional distinctions Finance Minister of the Year, Americas 2012, The Banker, a Magazine published in London Finance Minister of the Year 2011, Latin America, Emerging Markets, published in Washington Ministro de Finanzas del Año 2011, América Economía, published in Miami Best Professor, Economics Department, Universidad de los Andes, 1989 y 2006 Cruz de Boyacá, Gran Caballero, highest honor of the Colombian Government, 2002 Nominated: Best Professor of the Year in Colombia, Portafolio National Contest, 1998, 2007 Invited to the Latin American Young Leaders Conference in Atlanta, November 1998 Best Lecturer, New York University, Economics Department, 1994-1995 Scholarship, Central Bank of Colombia for studies at New York University, 1991-1993 Scholarship, Deutsche Ausland Austausch Dienst, for studies in Germany, 1988-1990 International Conferences, participant London School of Economics, UK World Economic Forum, Davos & NYC Econometric Society, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Brenthurst Foundation, Cairo, Egipt and Singapore Opec, Osaka, Japan Mainz University, Germany Boston College, USA Cambridge University, UK World Bank, Washington D.C. Central Bank, La Habana, Cuba 1 DUTIES BEFORE BEING APPOINTED AS MINISTER OF FINANCE Department of Economics, Universidad de los Andes Associate Professor Jun. 2006 – July 2010 Global Source Advisor for Colombia President of Econcept Sep. 2002 – July 2010 Oct. 2002 - July 2010 Global Source is a New York based consultancy firm in economics and politics which covers Latin American, East European and Asian countries for the world financial community. Econcept is a Bogotá based consultancy firm in topics of economics and politics. I founded and directed this firm, which is now the leading producer of economic and political analysis for the international community in Colombia. Editorialist CNN en Español (weekly), “Economía y Finanzas” El Tiempo, newspaper of highest circulation in Colombia Aug. 2006 - July 2010 Jan. 2005 - July 2010 Expert witness litigations (see below) Consultant in infrastructure projects Concession, El Dorado Airport, Bogotá (2007-2027) Concession, Cartagena Airport, (2009) Bogotá Bus Rapid Transit System (2006 and 2008) Member of the Boar of Directors Board of Trustees, Brenthurst Foundation, South Africa Ecopetrol, largest Colombian oil producer Central Bank of Colombia Holcim Colombia, cement producer Mazda Colombia, automobile assembly plant Oct. 2008 – present Aug. 2010 – Sep. 2012 Aug. 2010 – Sep. 2012 Oct. 2008 – July 2010 Oct. 2006 – July 2010 Governmental advisor Lesotho, led by the Brenthurst Foundation, South Africa and Konrad Adenauer Found., Germany. Government of Kazakhstan, on topics of public finance, with the World Bank. Peer reviewer of international Journals Journal of Applied Economics El Trimestre Económico 2 WORK EXPERIENCE Ministry of Finance and Public Credit of Colombia Minister Aug. 2010 – Sep. 2012 Approved ten structural reforms in Congress, two of them constitutional (fiscal sustainability and Mining Royalties reform), and eight Acts (tax, health care, labor, Public-Private partnerships, among others). Obtained Investment Grade status for the Colombian sovereign debt by three rating agencies, Moody’s, Standard & Poors, and Fitch; Reduced fiscal deficit from 3.6% of GDP to 1.8% between 2010 and 2012; increased tax revenues by 25% nominally in 2011; maintained inflation between the target range of 2-4 percent during the 17 moth tenure; increased Foreign Direct Investment to Colombia to a historic record of USD15 billion in 2011. During 2011, facing a difficult international environment characterized by the Greek crisis, achieved economic growth of 5.8% (estimated), increased Colombian employment in 1.5 million jobs, and reduced the unemployment rate to one digit level, after more than a decade between 10% and 18%. Economics Department, Universidad de los Andes Dean Sep. 2002 – 2006 This is arguably the best economics department of Colombia, with 700 undergraduate and 250 graduate students, a staff of 40 professors, five graduate programs and an associated Center of Economic Development (CEDE). During my tenure, I paid the debt (ca. one million dollars) and solved the financial problems of the Economics Department, by substantially increasing its revenues; doubled the number of professors holding a Ph.D. degree, and imposed such as the minimum requirement for teaching at that school; created a doctorate program; changed the curriculum to four years, created three M.A. programs; internationalized the department, attracting foreign professors and the participation of conferences fully financed by our budget, Associate Professor of Economics Sep. 2002 – 2010 Taught economic history: I created the course “Poverty and Wealth”, comprising 15 thousand years of economic development; it was a course for students of the whole university, attended by 140 to 200 students each term; it was considered the most popular course at the university, measured by 900 students in waiting list. World Bank, Washington D.C. Consultant Have worked continually in several consultancies and research projects since September 2002 Inter-American Development Bank (IADB), Washington D.C. Consultant Member of the IADB team which assessed the financial situation of the Peruvian Development Banks in 1993. Since Sep. 2002, the IADB used my services as economic analyst for different topics. 3 Ministry of Economic Planning Minister of Economic Planning Deputy Minister Aug. 2000 – Aug. 2002 Sep. 1999 – Aug. 2000 The Ministry (known in Colombia as the National Planning Department, NPD), is a technical institution and think tank responsible for coordinating public investment in the Colombian Government. The Director is member of the presidential cabinet, leads the CONPES (Economic and Social Policy Council), and is the head of a group of 400 employees, 11 of them with Ph. D. qualification and 70 with a Master’s degree, at that time. Responsible for the allocation and coordination of public investment totaling US$4.000 million per year. I was involved in the design and negotiation of the structural reforms: A constitutional reform that modified central government’s transfers to the regions A law regulating the education and health sectors, promoting greater efficiency under a tight budget constraint A reform to the pension system, which has become increasingly onerous to public finances A reform to the labor code, pursuing greater flexibility in terms of costs and working hours A tax reform, that yielded additional resources which mount to 1.8% of GDP The new generation of road concessions A package to increase educational loans to students entering university and technical education Chief Economist Director of Macroeconomic Analysis Sep. 1998 – Aug. 1999 The divisions under my supervision were: Monetary Policy, External Sector, Public Finance, Forecasting, Sectoral Models and Financial Programming. I led a group of twenty-five people; two of them holding a Ph. D in Economics and the rest holding an M.A. degree in economics or engineering. Central Bank of Colombia Director, Financial Program and Inflation Jan. 1997 – Aug. 1999 My responsibility was to supervise three different sections: Financial Planning, Inflation Research and Special Issues. I led fifteen people, most of them holding an M.A. degree in economics or Statistics. The chiefs of the first two sections held a Ph. D. in economics. This unit was responsible for the macroeconomic analysis of the Colombian economy for the Board of Directors of the Central Bank. Senior Researcher Oct. 1995 – Dec. 1996 Topics of interest: Savings, Exchange rate and inflation. Senior researcher on a seven-member team, all of which hold a Ph. D. in economics. I was responsible for the production of projects/publications with topics relevant to the central bank. Chief, Section of Money and Banking Sep. 1990 – Jul. 1991 Responsible for producing the monetary aggregates and the statistics of the financial sector and forecasts of the monetary sector, leading a group of six people. Junior Researcher Sep. 1986 – Jun. 1988 4 TEACHING EXPERIENCE Lecturer Poverty and Wealth: a history of economics Money and Banking Macroeconomics (M.Sc.) Monetary Economics Open Economy Macroeconomics Introduction to the Economics Universidad de los Andes, Bogota New York University, New York Universidad de los Andes, Bogota Universidad Javeriana, Bogota Universidad de los Andes, Bogota ESPERT WITNESS 2009 Barranquilla Airport vs. Aerocivil, evaluated prolonging the concession 2008 British Petroleum vs. Reclamantes del oleoducto, hired by BP for a trial in London Phillip Morris International vs. Colombian Anti-trust Authority, hired by PMI for an M&A authorization in Colombia Asobancaria vs. Registraduría Nacional, finance, determined economic loss Bancolombia, several litigations, finance, determined economic loss Transmilenio vs. ETMA, 2007 ETB vs. Colombian Mobile Telephone Corporations, telecommunications, determined economic loss ETB vs. Telefónica, telecommunications, determined economic loss Telecom vs. Swedtel, telecommunications, determined economic loss Bancolombia vs. Industrias JB, finance, determined economic loss 2006 Telecom vs. Alcatel, telecommunications, determined economic loss Telecom vs. Swedtel, telecommunications, determined economic loss Emgesa - Codensa vs. Contraloría Distrital, taxes, determined tax base Federacafé – Mnister of Finance vs. Pensioners of Flota Mercante Grancolombiana, studied 40 year evolution of international freight firm, to determine financial responsibilities on pension fund default 2005 TPS International Power, Inc. vs. Labor Union Termotasajero, hired by TPSI for a trial in Miami Aerocali vs. Aerocivil, Cali airport concession, determined economic loss Fogafin vs. Citibank, finance, determined economic loss Fogafin vs. Mier, finance, determined economic loss 5 PUBLICATIONS Books La Historia Repetida: Fiscalidad, Burocracia y Guerras en Colombia durant el Siglo XIX, Nov. 2012. Con M.P. Lopez, M.A., Espinoza. To be published by Univ. de los Andes. Colombian fiscal history during the XIX Century. El Transporte como Soporte al Desarrollo del País. Una visión al 2040, Universidad de los Andes, Mar., 2009. With J. Acevedo, J. P. Bocarejo y G. Lleras. A prospective book on Colombian road infrastructure and urban transportation problems. ¿Quién manda sobre las Cuentas Públicas? Inflexibilidad Presupuestal en Colombia, Argentina, México y Perú, Dec. 2008, with Leopoldo Fergusson, Pablo Querubín, A. Moya, J. A. Bonilla: A book on public finance in Colombia. Las Claves del Futuro. Economía y Conflicto en Colombia. Editorial Oveja Negra, Abr. 2002. A book covering a wide range of topics: pensions, crisis management, the conflict and development; composed of ten years of research. International publications “Oil in Colombia: History, Regulation and Macroeconomic Impact”, to be published in: Oil in Latin-American, Caracas, 2009. With J. Navas, V. Navas y M. P. Gómez. “Lessons from Colombian Economic Development”, in: Globalization and Economic Success, edited by B. Desker, J.Herbst, G. Mills y M. Spicer, 2008. Bernthurst Foundation, South Africa. “Colombia, reforming For Competitiveness”, in: Reforming for Competitiveness, Lesotho and Comparative International Experiences, 2008. Bernthurst Foundation, South Africa, Oct. “Client Perspectives on Elements of the World Bank Support”, World Bank, Nov., 2006, mimeo. With: A. Moya, J. A. Bonilla “The Economics of TransMilenio, a Mass Transit System for Bogotá”, June, 2004, in: Economia, Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Vol. 5, No, 2, Spring, 2005, with A. M. Ibáñez, A.Moya and L. C. Hillón. “ ‘Dollar’ Debt in Colombian Firms: Are Sinners Punished During Devaluations?”, Emerging Markets Review, Vol. 4, No.4, Dec. 2003. With: Roberto Steiner, Leopoldo Fergusson y Camila Aguilar, “The Political Economy of Labor Reform in Colombia”, Documento CEDE, 2004-22, Apr.; With: M. Santamaría. “Dealing with contingent liabilities in Colombia”, Government at Risk, The World Bank, 2002. With: Verónica Navas, J. C. Gutiérrez y J. E. Cardona. “La Recesión de Fin de Siglo”, in: Ensayos sobre Colombia y América Latina, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, 2002, Madrid, España. “Confronting fiscal imbalances via inter-temporal economics, politics and justice: The case of Colombia”. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Atlanta, Mar., 2000. With: V. Navas. 6 “Some Aspects of Savings in Colombia During the Last Decades”, Domestic savings in the Pacific Region: Trends and prospects, APEC, Osaka, Japan. With: P. Jaramillo, 1998. “Price Setting in the Manufacture Industry under hyperinflatory conditions, the case of Argentina”, Kiel Advanced Studies Working Papers, Mayo 1990. Publicada en español: Desarrollo Económico, No. 121, Vol. 31, Abril 1991, Buenos Aires, Argentina. With: J. P. Villanueva. Economics of Crime “Drug Trafficking and Impunity in the Lucas Islands. Evidence from United States, Mexico and Colombia”, mimeo, 2011. With M. P. Gómez. “Colombia and the War on Drugs, How short is the Short Run”, Documento CEDE 2004-13, Feb. “¿Nos Parecemos al Resto del Mundo? El Conflicto Colombiano en el Contexto Internacional”, Economía, crimen y conflicto, Astrid Martínez, editora, Banco Santander Hispano, Universidad de Alcalá y Universidad Nacional de Colombia, 2001. With: Verónica Navas y Natalia Salazar. Economic development and macroeconomics “Cronología de la Crisis Financiera Internacional” Revista Economía Colombiana, Contraloría General de la República, Mar., 2009. With: V. Navas. “Por Qué Oír a los Economistas”, in: Diálogos entre Abogados y Economistas sobre la constitución en el Aspecto Económico, 2007. Ministerio de Hacienda y Crédito Público de Colombia. “Revaluación, No Estamos Solos”, Revista Economía Colombiana, Contraloría General de la República, Jun., 2007. With: V. Navas “Un Pacto de Estabilidad para Colombia: Crecimiento, Estabilidad y Progreso Social”, Debate Político N. 9, 2005, Fundación Siglo XXI y Fundación Honrad Adenauer. With: M. Cárdenas. “Posibilidades y limitantes de un cambio en la productividad de los sectores manufactureros colombianos: Textiles-confexiones, Alimentos balanceados, Siderurgia-Metalmecánica, e Industria de Alimentos”, Facultad de Economía, mimeo, Jul., 2004. With: M. Hernández. “¿Es posible una Economía Social de Mercado en Colombia?”, in: Economía social de Mercado y Tratados de Libre Comercio en Colombia, Fundación Social, Noviembre, 2004, Fundación Konrad Adenauer. “El Siglo del Modelo de Desarrollo”, in: Archivos de Economía, No. 180. Departamento Nacional de Planeación DNP, 2002, Bogotá. “Tendencia, ciclos y distribución del ingreso en Colombia: una crítica al concepto de modelo de desarrollo”, in: Modelos de Desarrollo Económico en Colombia 1960-2002. Editorial Oveja Negra, 2002, Bogotá. With: Andrés Escobar y Mauricio Santamaría. “¿Cuál apertura? Evidencia de la fijación de precios en la Industria Argentina y Colombiana”, in: Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, Dic. 1997. With: Marcela Eslava. 7 “Choques de exportaciones y fluctuaciones de corto plazo en el ahorro. Teoría y Evidencia para América Latina”, Planeación y Desarrollo, Vol. XXVII, No. 1, Jan. – Mar. 1996, Bogotá. “Mecanismos de Transformación de la Deuda Externa: La Experiencia Latinoamericana” ESPE, Banco de la República, No. 11, Jun. 1987. “¿Hay Conflictos entre la Ética y la Economía?”, in: Universitas Económica, Vol. 9, no. 3, Jun. 1997, Bogotá. Universidad Javeriana. With: Zeinab Partow. “¿Son comparables los paradigmas económicos? El caso del análisis de precios en Marx y Hayek”, Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes - CEDE, No 33, Mar. 1994, Bogotá Health economics Análisis Costo-Efectividad de la Introducción de Risperidona Inyectable de Liberación Prolongada para el Tratamiento de Esquizofrenia y su Impacto en la Unidad de Pago por Capitación (UPC)”, Sep. 2008, mimeo. With: F. García, M. P. Gómez “Evaluación Económica de la Regulación de Precios de Productos Farmacéuticos Adoptada por el Gobierno Nacional a través de la Circular 04 de 2006, sep. 2007, mimeo. With: V. Navas y M. P. Gómez Economics of mining “Oil in Colombia: History, Regulation and Macroeconomic Impact”, in: Oil in Latinamerca, Caracas, 2009. With: J. Navas, V. Navas y M. P. Gómez. “La Minería del Oro en Antioquia y su Impacto Macroeconómico”, Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, No, 14, Dic. 1988. p 5-38. With: L. F. Jaime Financial system and capital markets “Promoviendo el Desarrollo del Mercado de Capitales en Colombia: Hoja de ruta”, preparado para BRC Investor Services, mimeo, enero, 2008. With: V. Navas y M. P. Gómez “El Impacto Social del Sistema Financiero”, Facultad de Economía, mimeo, Julio 2004. With: A. Fonseca “¿Hay un Estancamiento en la Oferta de Crédito?”, in: Archivos de Macroeconomía, No. 118, DNP, 1999, Bogotá. With: Natalia Salazar. “Notas de Economía Monetaria”, in: Archivos de Economía, No. 106, DNP, Abril 1999 “UPAC: Evolución y Crisis de un Modelo de Desarrollo”, in: Archivos de Economía, No. 129, DNP, Dic. 1999. “El Leasing y su Evolución en el Período 1979-1989”, Banca y Finanzas, Revista de la Asociación Bancaria de Colombia, Dic. 1990. 8 Public finance “Rigideces Institucionales y Fexibilidad Presupuestaria: los Casos de Argentina, Colombia, México y Perú”. Documento CEDE, Número 2006-33, Facultad de Economía, Universidad de los Andes. With: A. Moya, J. A. Bonilla. “Fiscal Inflexibility”, Documento CEDE No. 52, 2005. With: L. Fergusson y P. Querubín. “La Batalla Política por el Presupuesto de la Nación: Inflexibilidades o Supervivencia Fiscal”, Documento CEDE 2004-01, enero. With: L. Fergusson y P. Querubín. “Manejo de Riesgos del Estado”, in: Terrorismo y Seguridad. Editorial Planeta Colombiana, SEMANA, 2003, Bogotá. “Elementos para el debate sobre una nueva reforma pensional”, in: Archivos de Economía, No. 156, DNP, 2001, Bogotá. “Confronting Fiscal Imbalances via Intertemporal Economics, Politics and Justice: The Case of Colombia”. Economic Review, Fedral Reserve Atlanta, Marzo, 2000. Con: V. Navas. Economics of transportation “La Regulación del Sector Transporte. TransMilenio, un Diseño para Superar las Fallas de Mercado del Transporte Público”, próximo a publicar in: La regulación de servicios públicos en Colombia, 2005, Universidad de los Andes. With: A. M. Ibáñez y A. Moya “TransMilenio, A Mass Transit System for Bogotá”. Economía, Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, No. 21, 2004. With: A.M. Ibáñez y A. Moya, L.C. Hillón “Una evaluación económica del sistema TransMilenio”. Revista de Ingeniería Número 21, 2004. Universidad de los Andes. With: A.M. Ibáñez y A. Moya Monetary economics “Notas Sobre la Tasa de Interés y la Inflación en Colombia”, in: Apuntes del CENES, Centro de Estudios Económicos CENES, Escuela de Economía UPTC, Separata No. 5, 1997. Tunja. With: Marcela Eslava “Sobre la Tasa de Interés como Instrumento de la Política Monetaria”, in: Debates de Coyuntura Económica, Jun. 1996, Fedesarrollo. “Auge y Perpetuación de una Inflación Moderada: Colombia 1970-1991”, Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, No. 28, Dec. 1995 “Indicadores de Política y Canales de Transmisión Monetaria, Colombia 1975-1991”, Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, Dec. 1993, No. 24. p 7-41. 9