Download Climate risk management in the water resources and agricultural

RED IBEROMERICANA DE OFICINAS DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO
TALLER EN EL ÁMBITO DE LA RIOCC SOBRE
“EVALUACIÓN DE PROYECTOS DE IMPACTOS, VUNERABILIDAD Y MEDIDAS DE ADAPTACIÓN AL CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO”
I. DATOS GENERALES
PAÍS/PAÍSES: Brasil
TïTULO PROYECTO: Climate risk management in the water resources and agricultural sectors of
Brazilian Nordeste
ÁMBITO DE APLICACIÓN : Subnacional
Área geográfica: Nordeste de Brasil. Estado de Ceara
SECTORES
RECURSOS HÍDRICOS.
SECTOR AGRÍCOLA.
SALUD.
ZONAS COSTERAS.
FINANZAS.
SUELOS.
BOSQUES.
PESCA Y ECOSIST. MARINOS
ENERGÍA.
ZONAS DE MONTAÑA.
BIODIVERSIDAD.
TRANSPORTE.
TURISMO.
URBANISMO Y CONSTRUCCIÓN.
OTROS SECTORES.
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ESTRUCTURA DE COORDINACIÓN
Institución Responsable principal:
Instituciones y Agentes participantes:
1.
Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hídricos, Ceará, Brazil (FUNCEME)
2.
National Water Agency of Brazil (ANA)
3.
Secretariat for water resources, Ceará, Brazil (SRH)
4.
Companhia de Gestao dos Recursos Hídricos, Ceará, Brazil (COGERH)
5.
Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
6.
University of Miami
7.
Earth and Environmental Engineering (Columbia University)
8.
IRI
RESUMEN DEL PROYECTO:
The state of Ceará has well established forecasting and management institutions but needs and
wants to further integrate them, to provide drought relief to more people. Many of the inhabitants of
its vast semi-arid region live off of low-scale, rain-fed agriculture and ranching. They face hunger,
unemployment and dislocation during recurrent water shortages in the region. Two million rural
people were affected by the last severe drought in 1998, and required US $360 million in aid.
The activities of this project are oriented to improve water management in the semiarid region of
Northeast Brazil, where socioeconomic development is directly linked to the rational distribution of
water in competing activities: agriculture, human/livestock consumption, energy generation and
industry.
II. DATOS DEL PROYECTO
FECHA DE INICIO (dd/mm/aaaa):
DURACIÓN:
FICHA PROYECTOS
PÁGINA 1
RED IBEROMERICANA DE OFICINAS DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO
TALLER EN EL ÁMBITO DE LA RIOCC SOBRE
“EVALUACIÓN DE PROYECTOS DE IMPACTOS, VUNERABILIDAD Y MEDIDAS DE ADAPTACIÓN AL CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO”
PRESUPUESTO:
FUENTES DE FINANCIACIÓN:
OBJETIVO GENERAL: The objective of this project is to provide decision support to policy makers
for reducing vulnerability to drought. The project seeks to help the Governments of states in the
Nordeste to more effectively anticipate rainfall and water supply at different spatial and temporal
scales and then take related actions that improve outcomes for multiple groups.
OBJETIVOS ESPECÍFICOS
Objetivo nº 1: 1. Climate Predictability research
METODOLOGÍA:
1- Improving Downscalling methods:
The NCAR CCM3 and the CSU Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) will be added
to the downscaling forecast system for northeast Brazil, and multimodel ensembling methods
will be implemented to consolidate the downscaling forecasts (In collaboration with
FUNCEME).
MOS technique will be applied to the RSM outputs to try to improve the downscaling forecast
skill.
2- Sub-seasonal predictability: Evaluate sub-seasonal regional predictability using RSM &
HMM (RSM skill may just be sampling).
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
Objetivo nº 2: 2. Research on decision-making in water allocation
METODOLOGÍA:
1- Produce final version of survey:
Quantify the impacts of change in water availability on irrigated farm households in the
Jaguaribe River basin.
Quantify the impacts of heterogeneity in water variability across the basin on investments in
fruit crops and irrigation.
Study the use of climate-based information by irrigators.
2- Assess the impacts of providing climate information to the participatory Water Allocation
Seminar (WAS):
Use video recording of meetings, focus groups, experiments in field labs and a survey to:
• Examine how providing information to the WAS affects the perceptions of individuals, the
group process, and decisions (influence of socioeconomic impact information on voting and
influence of climate-based forecast information on voting).
• Study the effects of providing these types of information on upcoming decisions about ruralurban bulk water transfers (influence of socioeconomic impact information on decisions, and
influence of climate-based forecast information on decisions).
3- Water market instruments
Assess the potential impact of introducing financial instruments in the water resource
management.
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
Objetivo nº 3: 3. Improving steam flow forecasts
METODOLOGÍA:
Improve stream flow forecasts technologies at DNOCS.
• Train one or two DNOCS technicians at Lamont, introducing and piloting the use of stream
flow forecast
• Expand the use of such technology to other dams
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
FICHA PROYECTOS
PÁGINA 2
RED IBEROMERICANA DE OFICINAS DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO
TALLER EN EL ÁMBITO DE LA RIOCC SOBRE
“EVALUACIÓN DE PROYECTOS DE IMPACTOS, VUNERABILIDAD Y MEDIDAS DE ADAPTACIÓN AL CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO”
Objetivo nº 4:
METODOLOGÍA:
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Objetivo nº 5:
METODOLOGÍA:
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Objetivo nº 6:
METODOLOGÍA:
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Objetivo nº 7:
METODOLOGÍA:
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Objetivo nº 8:
METODOLOGÍA:
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
Objetivo nº 9:
METODOLOGÍA:
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
ART.6 CONVENCIÓN: EDUCACIÓN, FORMACIÓN Y SENSIBILIZACIÓN DEL PÚBLICO.
METODOLOGÍA:
A specific set of activities are oriented to define a 'Communication Strategy' for
communicating climate information to key stakeholders of the Nordeste (government, media,
water managers, agriculturalists, etc.)
RESULTADOS ESPERADOS / OBTENIDOS:
VALORACIÓN DE LAS MEDIDAS DE ADAPTACIÓN PROPUESTAS
III. OTROS DATOS
REFERENCIAS:
http://portal.iri.columbia.edu/portal/server.pt?open=512&objID=414&PageID=0&cached=true&mod
e=2&userID=2
CONTACTO: At International Research Institute for Climate and SOciety: Walter
Baethgen:baethgen@iri.columbia.edu
COMENTARIOS ADICIONALES:
FICHA PROYECTOS
PÁGINA 3