Download REPORTE SEMANAL DEL 14 AL 18 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2016
Transcript
COMPASS INVESTMENT OCHO, S.A. DE C.V., (PAMBF: MM) Mutual Fund administrated by Compass Investments De México S.A. de C.V. S.O.S.I. Weekly Report as of June 2, 2017 FUND OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGY PERFORMANCE Objective PAM’s main objective is to generate capital appreciation by investing in the stock of Mexican and international companies through active, diversified and de-indexed portfolio management that seeks to capitalize on stock market movements to provide longterm investors with attractive returns. 12% MEXBOL 8.84% 10% PAMBF 5.58% 8% 6% Strategy • Active, long-term, and de-leveraged portfolio management. • In-depth fundamental research by an in-house team of local, experienced analysts. • The investment strategy is based on asset classification and investment themes, which includes companies with annual dividend payout and share repurchase policies, companies with dollarized income and risk diversification, companies that validate an expected total return of more than 7.25%, value stories, and companies with high ROICs. 4% 2% 0% -2% Source: Bloomberg & PAM Returns (%) 1W May 17 1Q17 1Y Since Inception PAMBF3 MXN -1.07% -1.87% 5.18% -0.80% 9.54% USD -2.03% -0.70% 15.69% -1.04% -1.03% PAMBF4 MXN -1.07% -1.87% 5.16% -0.86% 9.43% USD -2.03% -0.70% 15.67% -1.10% -1.13% MXN -1.07% -1.88% 5.15% -0.92% 9.32% USD -2.03% -0.71% 15.65% -1.16% -1.23% MXN -0.69% -0.61% 6.65% 10.26% 18.49% USD -1.65% 0.57% 17.31% 9.99% 7.06% -0.89% 1.08% 10.69% -0.02% -9.93% Excess Returns (Basis Points) 1W May 17 1Q17 1Y Since Inception PAMBF3 vs MEXBOL -38 -126 -147 -1106 -895 Distinguishing Characteristics • 27 years of experience in the U.S. and Mexico; sales and regulatory practices. • **The fund reflects the strategy established by Pichardo Asset Management for the Mexico Equity & Income Fund (MXE), an NYSE-listed closed-end fund that began operating in August, 1990 (27 years). PAMBF5 FUND INFORMATION MEXBOL Share Class Data Share Class PAMBF3 Type PAMBF4 PAMBF5 MXN/USD Open-end Fund Currency MXN Tot. Annual Cost 2.15% 2.20% 2.25% Minimum (MXN) $50m $25m $5m ISIN Average Annual Return in USD, with reinvested dividends MX52PA0F00 (39/47/54) As of May 31 2017 FUND BASICS Domicile/Structure Mexico Launch Date Returns (%) 2016 2015* 3 years 5 years 10 years 27 years September 2, 2015 PAMBF3 MXN 5.58% 0.88% 2.84% - - - - MXN PAMBF4 MXN 5.56% 0.82% 2.82% - - - - $261 PAMBF5 MXN 5.53% 0.76% 2.80% - - - - 30 MEXBOL MXN 8.84% 8.05% 0.76% - - - - MXE** USD 16.93% -14.88% 1.32% -5.67% 7.34% 1.75% 12.15% MEXBOL USD 20.35% -9.83% -5.01% 1.43% 0.61% 10.06% - - - - Base Currency Fund Assets (MXN M) Number of Holdings Number of off-index holdings Liquidity 8 72 hours Benchmark (index) MXN/USD MEXBOL Fund Beta (Since Sep 2 2015) 0.854 Index Beta (Since Sep 2 2015) 1.058 INVESTMENT TEAM Maria Eugenia Pichardo 27 years Arnulfo Rodríguez 25 years José Luis Ramirez 20 years Consistency 10.95% -16.98% -2.22% FUND COMPOSITION* Top Ten Holdings AMXL GMEXICO GFNORTE CEMEXCPO ALFAA WALMEX FEMSA MEXCHEM LIVEPOLC SITESB FUND ADVISOR Pichardo Asset Management, S.A. de C.V., Asesor Independiente en Inversiones Andrés Bello 45, Piso 22nd floor, Chapultepec Polanco Miguel Hidalgo, 11560, CDMX, México -1.35% Source: U.S. Bancorp, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters & PAM Past performance does not guarantee future results. . *09-02-2015/12-31-2015 Experience Experience YTD Sector breakdown Materials Financials Consumer Staples Industrials Telecommunications Services Consumer Discretionary Real Estate Utilities *As of June 1 2017 Source: Compass & PAM Vision % 10% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% -1- % 22% 17% 15% 15% 12% 11% 3% 3% Consistency Vision COMPASS INVESTMENT OCHO, S.A. DE C.V., (PAMBF: MM) Mutual Fund administrated by Compass Investments De México S.A. de C.V. S.O.S.I. Politics and Markets (Part 2) Mexican Stock Market Price Index The Mexican stock market rose just 0.24% in May due to profit-taking, which at times put the index below the 49,000 point mark, which is to be expected following the IPyC’s return of almost 9% during the first four months of the year. We expect solid performance from equities ahead of the release of second quarter financial reports in July on the back of an upward revision to 2017 economic growth estimates, peso appreciation, the rise in short-term interest rates, and signs of more balanced public finances, all of which are factors that should favor the entry of foreign portfolio investment into Mexican financial markets. 52,000 50,000 48,000 46,000 44,000 42,000 40,000 38,000 36,000 34,000 32,000 30,000 28,000 The May pause in the stock market’s uptrend was due to two main factors: 1. 2. Strong volatility in US and Brazilian markets in response to some serious political issues their governments are facing, namely, the Trump administration’s difficulty winning Congressional and/or Judicial support for his public policies, and pressures associated with the demise of Michel Temer’s government due to political corruption scandals; and Investor caution ahead of the Sunday June 4th elections in the states of Mexico, Coahuila and Nayarit (Governorships) and Veracruz (Local governments). 49,939 49,317 46,357 40,225 Return 1 Year YTD Week MXN 10.26% 8.84% -0.69% USD 9.99% 20.35% -1.65% Source: Bloomberg Change in Non-Farm Payroll 600 500 Change in Non-Farm Payroll 400 Survey 300 200 182 138 100 The events of 2016 (BREXIT, Trump’s election, etc.) showed the extent to which financial markets are sensitive to political events. In this context, the favorable results of the June 4th elections are worth mentioning, both, and principally, for the civility of the process and because they lessened the traction of the far left, which is against structural reform and set on affecting economic performance. 0 -100 -200 Source: Bloomberg June began with the US jobless report. The nonfarm payroll showed an increase of 138,000 new jobs, which was disappointing compared to the market’s expectation of 185,000 and the 66,000 downward revision to figures corresponding to the previous two months. The data had no material impact on markets, as the jobless rate of 4.3% was a 16-year low. It is too early to say whether the nonfarm payroll weakness was caused by Trump’s erratic public policies, but if the trend continues, disappointment with his government and further isolation will increase. For now the data is not enough to alter expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike its reference rate by 25 basis points to 1.00% – 1.25% in its June 13 and 14 meeting. Meanwhile, the Mexican peso remains one of the currencies that has posted the biggest gains against the US dollar in 2017. Since hitting a low of MXN$ 21.9044 against the dollar on January 19, the peso has strengthened by more than 16%. At the close of operations on June 5th, the interbank exchange rate was MX$18.3665, an appreciation of 1.4% against the dollar since June 3rd. Apparently, the stock market is also validating the outcome of the recent elections. U.S. Unemployment Rate 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4.3 4 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Apreciation / Depreciatión Annual Accumulated MXN/USD Spot Exchange Rate -12.3% -12.3% -14.3% -24.8% WTI Arnulfo Rodríguez Senior Debt Analyst & Portfolio Manager Investor Relations (55) 5261 4600 -17.0% -37.6% 11.2% -30.5% 22.5 22.0 21.5 21.0 20.5 20.0 19.5 19.0 18.5 18.0 17.5 17.0 16.5 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 13.5 13.0 12.5 12.0 Source: Bloomberg Disclosures Pichardo Asset Management provides the advisory service to Fondo Compass Investment Ocho, S.A. de C.V., for which it receives a fee for these services. Pichardo Asset Management conducts its decisions under standards from more than 26 years of experience in portfolio management advice, and provides comments in a weekly and monthly basis. The information contained herein reflects the opinion of the advisor and as such should not be constructed as fundamental analysis or a decision-making model. Neither should the information be interpreted as a solicitation, offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial securities. It is also subject to changes without prior notification and estimates cannot be guaranteed. The registration that PAM maintains with the securities supervisory authorities in both Mexico and the U.S. do not i -001-(5365)Market Law. Experience Consistency Vision -2-